Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
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- Saturday 02.18.2023 at 04:00 PM ET
- U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
- Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
- Ownership: Endeavor
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
- Enclosure: Octagon
- TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Laura Sanko, Paul Felder
- Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
- Post-Fight Interviews: Paul Felder
- MMA Bouts: 11
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Promotion Links:
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Event Links:
| Bout | Info | |
|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield defeats Jéssica Andrade via Submission, Rear Naked Choke | 1:37 Round 2 of 5, 6:37 Total Bout Page | |
| Zac Pauga defeats Jordan Wright via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Jamal Pogues defeats Josh Parisian via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Marcin Prachnio defeats William Knight via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Alexander Hernandez defeats Jim Miller via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Nazim Sadykhov defeats Evan Elder via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut) | 0:38 Round 3 of 3, 10:38 Total Bout Page | |
| Mayra Bueno Silva defeats Lina Länsberg via Submission, Kneebar | 4:45 Round 2 of 3, 9:45 Total Bout Page | |
| Jamall Emmers defeats Khusein Askhabov via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Philipe Lins defeats Ovince St. Preux via KO/TKO, Punches | 0:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| AJ Fletcher defeats Themba Gorimbo via Submission, Guillotine Choke | 1:37 Round 2 of 3, 6:37 Total Bout Page | |
| Clayton Carpenter defeats Juancamilo Ronderos via Submission, Rear Naked Choke | 3:13 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page |
Responses Page 44
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- TLRulebender
02.17.2023 | 5:15 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points | Tied for 382nd
Ironic, the one who calls litteraly everyone Ayy's alt acc is having 3 alts to upvote himself. You know what that means? I snitch on that mofo
02.17.2023 | 6:37 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 3200th
Anybody got a nice parlay they are confident in? I'm taking Clay , Khusein, Silva , Miller and Knight.
02.17.2023 | 6:44 PM ET
UFC Vegas 69: Quick Picks and Favorite Bets
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points | Tied for 1891st
What is everybody's favorite bet for this weekend?
Quick Preview, Picks, and Favorite Bets for those interested: UFC Vegas 69: Quick Preview, Picks, and Favorite Bets – OddSmokerMMA
Quick Preview, Picks, and Favorite Bets for those interested: UFC Vegas 69: Quick Preview, Picks, and Favorite Bets – OddSmokerMMA
"Check us out for free MMA Picks, Predictions, Analysis, Bets & More"
02.17.2023 | 6:49 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 610 Points | Tied for 74th
Is it just me or did Lins look really in shape
02.17.2023 | 6:59 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 330 Points | Tied for 2996th
I said she is the best female wrester in the UFC and tomorrow she will prove me right. If you thought the wrestling clinic Valentina put on that juice head was bad just wait until Blanchfield gets ahold of her. 😁
02.17.2023 | 7:11 PM ET
RyanQ
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 725th
Lins is motivated. OSP is not
"Positivity is a positive"
02.17.2023 | 7:12 PM ET
My parlay +53952
Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 330 Points | Tied for 2996th
Erin Blanchfield by Submission or on Points +140
Zac Pauga by KO/TKO -150
William Knight by KO/TKO +170
Jim Miller by KO/TKO or Submission +310
Khusein Askhabov by KO/TKO or Submission +175
Clayton Carpenter by KO/TKO or Submission -135
Zac Pauga by KO/TKO -150
William Knight by KO/TKO +170
Jim Miller by KO/TKO or Submission +310
Khusein Askhabov by KO/TKO or Submission +175
Clayton Carpenter by KO/TKO or Submission -135
* Edited at 02.17.2023, 7:12 PM ET *
02.17.2023 | 7:14 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points | Tied for 196th
I hope Blanchfield outwresle Andrade even if I don't see it happening, I want Valentina to fight someone who has a chance to beat her, Valentina is so boring to me for that reason, I want to see interesting fight, And mismatchs ain't interesting to me, Even if it not Vals fault her division sucks for a long time
The Talia vs Shevshenko fight was really enjoyable to me because It was a good fight, Can't say the same thing for most of Vals fight, If Blanchfield just destroys Andrade, I'll be hype for her vs Valentina, I also give Blachfield a shot at beating Valentina, Vals weakness is takedown defences
The Talia vs Shevshenko fight was really enjoyable to me because It was a good fight, Can't say the same thing for most of Vals fight, If Blanchfield just destroys Andrade, I'll be hype for her vs Valentina, I also give Blachfield a shot at beating Valentina, Vals weakness is takedown defences
* Edited at 02.17.2023, 7:15 PM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
02.17.2023 | 7:25 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 2598th
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, TKO, R2
Ovince St. Preux is a guy I always enjoy watching but I can't see him winning this one. I Hope I'm wrong though.
Philipe Lins, TKO, R2
Ovince St. Preux is a guy I always enjoy watching but I can't see him winning this one. I Hope I'm wrong though.
"I wish you good luck but I don't want you to rely on luck"
02.17.2023 | 9:30 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 65 Points | Tied for 3839th
Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter, SUB
Would have gone KO/Sub inside of two rounds. It’s out of the frying pan into the fire for Juan. If he doesn’t get starched by the standup he’ll get subbed or pounded out on the ground.
Clayton Carpenter, SUB
Would have gone KO/Sub inside of two rounds. It’s out of the frying pan into the fire for Juan. If he doesn’t get starched by the standup he’ll get subbed or pounded out on the ground.
02.17.2023 | 9:32 PM ET
Areisius
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points | Tied for 920th
You are about to lose every single fookin bet
This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 3 months, 4 weeks, 10 hours, and 22 minutes from now.
02.17.2023 | 9:32 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 725th
Ive just been listening to some MMA Podcasters and analysts and Ive just been feeling sorry for them.
They keep taking about "Units" and "Line movements" and how they can't play winning lines because the lines have moved too much. I've just been shaking my head.
All these guys, and most the guys on here seem to think there is only one way to bet. Units and value and line movement. Smh
I keep hearing how they think they have a "decent line" and how they will play that bet if it reaches a certain value.
Sinlge bets. At most at 2:1 odds. And half of those bets will lose anyway because the people they should be betting have "no value"
If you make single bets, at even 2:1 odds and win one and lose one where are you at? Zero profit. And if you line up your "units" and make large unit plays if that guy loses you have lost a lot. This is why all these cookie cutter bettors have absolute abysmal ROI. 5%, 10%, 20% LOL. It would be funny if it wasn't sad.
At least Andrew, Bananas and myself have figured out how to bet and win big. And if any of you on here have been watching our posts then you will know how to do it too.
They keep taking about "Units" and "Line movements" and how they can't play winning lines because the lines have moved too much. I've just been shaking my head.
All these guys, and most the guys on here seem to think there is only one way to bet. Units and value and line movement. Smh
I keep hearing how they think they have a "decent line" and how they will play that bet if it reaches a certain value.
Sinlge bets. At most at 2:1 odds. And half of those bets will lose anyway because the people they should be betting have "no value"
If you make single bets, at even 2:1 odds and win one and lose one where are you at? Zero profit. And if you line up your "units" and make large unit plays if that guy loses you have lost a lot. This is why all these cookie cutter bettors have absolute abysmal ROI. 5%, 10%, 20% LOL. It would be funny if it wasn't sad.
At least Andrew, Bananas and myself have figured out how to bet and win big. And if any of you on here have been watching our posts then you will know how to do it too.
"Positivity is a positive"
02.17.2023 | 10:01 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points | Tied for 920th
Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R3
LOCK. I've here the powerful women, constant pressure, proper skills to follow the gameplan, 5 round experience ( cardio management, overall better fighter ) WAY BETTER STRENGHT SCHEDULE. BATE ESTACA CARALHO!!!!ANDRADE WANTS SOME MONEY 😎👑🇧🇷🗿🗿🗿
Pauga vs. Wright
Zac Pauga, TKO, R2
Pauga should win cause his opponent is Karate *****, thats it. I dont see this goin to decision cause is Jordan Wright but Pauga SUCKS! No hands no speed, but if you land just a punch in Wright U SHOULD REALISE THATS IT TIME TO PRESSURE HIM A FINISH THE FIGHT!!
Parisian vs. Pogues
Jamal Pogues, DEC
Pogues is not that bad, not that bad wrestling, not that bad cardio & of course quicker hands and if he thrown combos followed by the jab he is goin to win easily this fight
Knight vs. Prachnio
William Knight, TKO, R1
Prachnio is a brawler in the Apex with no chin against a powerful guy, UFC matchmakers are a bad people
Miller vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, TKO, R1
Hernández is way quicker and way more well rounded that being said he is in that Sarah Jessica Parker mood of Sex in New York after a bad love, mentally broken, in resume better skills but Hernández has the mentalility of a *****, but IT WOULD BE A REAL UPSET losing vs Miller, Miller has not the pace of Quarantillo, Miller has not the pressure of Dober, Miller was struggling vs Pichel 2 year ago and even vs Gonzalez in the 1st round
Sadykhov vs. Elder
Nazim Sadykhov, TKO, R3
Good striker vs a Fookin can who is goin to lay & pray Nazim to the cage, for me Nazim has only ONE WEAK POINT, he doesnt know what to do when he is being pressured to the cage, that being said this guy Elder is not that guy and if the ref does his job he should seperated both fighters and in the striking department is too easy to see the differences in both fighters
Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, DEC
Bueno Silva with takedowns in this fight, she would retire this soccermon crackhead, but this is goin to be a StandUp fight and she Will win by more volume, nothing else, thats why Im picking her to win by decision
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Khusein Askhabov, DEC
Askhabov should wrestle this guy, is quicker, and with that being said, probably his récord is fake and if he lose then UFC will show that to release him, but if he wins UFC would promote him like the 24-0 guy. But that record is fake
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, DEC
Snoozefest
Fletcher vs. Gorimbo
AJ Fletcher, TKO, R1
This is the fight for Fletcher, even in the worst performance of Fletcher he knocks out this guy, better striking, more power, and the advantage in the ground.
Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter, DEC
If you dont finish a big mexican guy I dont know what expect from Carpenter, in the grappling department he is miles away from this guy, but his wrestling is 0, now Carpenter has the power and physical advantage and this could be a diferent fight, but I dont like the way he mixs his tools at this level I think he is goin to win just being in dominant Positions and landing more and powerful shots, thats it, and I think he has more chances to finish this fight for all that I said
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R3
LOCK. I've here the powerful women, constant pressure, proper skills to follow the gameplan, 5 round experience ( cardio management, overall better fighter ) WAY BETTER STRENGHT SCHEDULE. BATE ESTACA CARALHO!!!!ANDRADE WANTS SOME MONEY 😎👑🇧🇷🗿🗿🗿
Pauga vs. Wright
Zac Pauga, TKO, R2
Pauga should win cause his opponent is Karate *****, thats it. I dont see this goin to decision cause is Jordan Wright but Pauga SUCKS! No hands no speed, but if you land just a punch in Wright U SHOULD REALISE THATS IT TIME TO PRESSURE HIM A FINISH THE FIGHT!!
Parisian vs. Pogues
Jamal Pogues, DEC
Pogues is not that bad, not that bad wrestling, not that bad cardio & of course quicker hands and if he thrown combos followed by the jab he is goin to win easily this fight
Knight vs. Prachnio
William Knight, TKO, R1
Prachnio is a brawler in the Apex with no chin against a powerful guy, UFC matchmakers are a bad people
Miller vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, TKO, R1
Hernández is way quicker and way more well rounded that being said he is in that Sarah Jessica Parker mood of Sex in New York after a bad love, mentally broken, in resume better skills but Hernández has the mentalility of a *****, but IT WOULD BE A REAL UPSET losing vs Miller, Miller has not the pace of Quarantillo, Miller has not the pressure of Dober, Miller was struggling vs Pichel 2 year ago and even vs Gonzalez in the 1st round
Sadykhov vs. Elder
Nazim Sadykhov, TKO, R3
Good striker vs a Fookin can who is goin to lay & pray Nazim to the cage, for me Nazim has only ONE WEAK POINT, he doesnt know what to do when he is being pressured to the cage, that being said this guy Elder is not that guy and if the ref does his job he should seperated both fighters and in the striking department is too easy to see the differences in both fighters
Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, DEC
Bueno Silva with takedowns in this fight, she would retire this soccermon crackhead, but this is goin to be a StandUp fight and she Will win by more volume, nothing else, thats why Im picking her to win by decision
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Khusein Askhabov, DEC
Askhabov should wrestle this guy, is quicker, and with that being said, probably his récord is fake and if he lose then UFC will show that to release him, but if he wins UFC would promote him like the 24-0 guy. But that record is fake
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, DEC
Snoozefest
Fletcher vs. Gorimbo
AJ Fletcher, TKO, R1
This is the fight for Fletcher, even in the worst performance of Fletcher he knocks out this guy, better striking, more power, and the advantage in the ground.
Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter, DEC
If you dont finish a big mexican guy I dont know what expect from Carpenter, in the grappling department he is miles away from this guy, but his wrestling is 0, now Carpenter has the power and physical advantage and this could be a diferent fight, but I dont like the way he mixs his tools at this level I think he is goin to win just being in dominant Positions and landing more and powerful shots, thats it, and I think he has more chances to finish this fight for all that I said
* Edited at 02.17.2023, 10:05 PM ET *
This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 3 months, 4 weeks, 10 hours, and 22 minutes from now.
02.17.2023 | 10:56 PM ET
@Rah123
Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 697th
-200 to +200 is 2:1 (1.5 to 3 in decimal). Hitting 50% there nets you a 50% ROI, 2 units out 3 units back.
Unless you mean +100 (2 decimal) in which case that's barely a dog bet, that's a pickem bet, the other side of that bet would typically be -125 (1.8).
People who mostly focus on favorites and parlays undervalue just how much you get back from hitting dog bets. You don't need to hit 50% of them to do well, I hit around 38-39% and have been profitable year by year so far since I started in 2020. Of course I don't just dog bet, I'm willing to bet favorites as well but that is less profitable to me doing singles.
Unless you mean +100 (2 decimal) in which case that's barely a dog bet, that's a pickem bet, the other side of that bet would typically be -125 (1.8).
People who mostly focus on favorites and parlays undervalue just how much you get back from hitting dog bets. You don't need to hit 50% of them to do well, I hit around 38-39% and have been profitable year by year so far since I started in 2020. Of course I don't just dog bet, I'm willing to bet favorites as well but that is less profitable to me doing singles.
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
02.17.2023 | 11:21 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 430th
Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, DEC
Possible late 3rd round armbar but I doubt it berg too durable
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Khusein Askhabov, SUB, R2
2ND ROUND HEEL HOOK SUBMISSION
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, DEC
Why is OSP STILL FIGHTING
Mayra Bueno Silva, DEC
Possible late 3rd round armbar but I doubt it berg too durable
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Khusein Askhabov, SUB, R2
2ND ROUND HEEL HOOK SUBMISSION
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, DEC
Why is OSP STILL FIGHTING
"Lrz 4800 / | \"
02.17.2023 | 11:35 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 515 Points | Tied for 475th
Sadykhov gets rocked in a lot of fights…would tread lightly
02.18.2023 | 12:15 AM ET
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 660 Points | Tied for 19th with 1 other
Hopefully OSP wilts again here.
02.18.2023 | 12:31 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 176th
@rah. You're right betting based on line movement and "value" is a losing battle. I just bet who I think will win and if I'm confident in method I'll hammer a prop. If it's a fighter I think will win and it's not a profitable line I'll just pass or parlay with another fighter I'm super confident in. It's nice to hit a line before it gets steamed but I'm not gonna bet a +200 dog just because I think there's a chance they could win. I started tracking my bets this year and am at 83% ROI so far. Not bad
02.18.2023 | 12:32 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 2400th
Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R3
wasn't volk vs islam last week?? why is it on again?? nah but for real this is a tough matchup to call and the odds indicate it. erin "brotha" blanchfield vs jessica "onlyfans" andrade... gonna side with andrade's strength and well-roundedness to defend the takedowns and put a clinic on erin from dagestan. can you guys reply with your opinions? this is my first post on here but i've been lurking on the threads for a minute. bananas you're the goat, and rezzor i heard you're dating joshua fabia? congrats!
Pauga vs. Wright
Zac Pauga, TKO, R2
pauga round 2 KO/TKO, wright is live for a good 1.5 rounds, pauga will likely takeover in the 2nd and put a beating on the karate kid
Parisian vs. Pogues
Josh Parisian, DEC
i'm really looking forward to this m...........idnight nap in between fights! zero confidence i'm gonna side with the dog in parisian
Knight vs. Prachnio
William Knight, TKO, R1
tubby will for the W, looked great at weigh ins. his main issue is lack of volume as well as a ****** gas tank. knight KO round 1 otherwise it's a boring clinch-fest on the fence and tubby will still wins. prachnio is absolute dog**** let's be honest
Miller vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, TKO, R1
i have no confidence in either but i'm gonna pick alex only because he's at 155 and because i don't think miller wins 4 in a row at 39 y/o, but it very well could happen
Sadykhov vs. Elder
Nazim Sadykhov, TKO, R1
put the house on sadykhov
Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, SUB, R1
ufc matchmakers are getting fired, and so is lansberg after this L
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Jamall Emmers, DEC
mr. padded record vs the guy who lost a split decision versus giga... emmers via DEC for the upset
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, TKO, R2
motivated lins vs washed OSP
Fletcher vs. Gorimbo
AJ Fletcher, DEC
poirier's son for the boring decision win
Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Juancamilo Ronderos, DEC
after some tape study, i still don't know what's so special about carpenter... going with the dog in ronderos to pull off the upset decision
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R3
wasn't volk vs islam last week?? why is it on again?? nah but for real this is a tough matchup to call and the odds indicate it. erin "brotha" blanchfield vs jessica "onlyfans" andrade... gonna side with andrade's strength and well-roundedness to defend the takedowns and put a clinic on erin from dagestan. can you guys reply with your opinions? this is my first post on here but i've been lurking on the threads for a minute. bananas you're the goat, and rezzor i heard you're dating joshua fabia? congrats!
Pauga vs. Wright
Zac Pauga, TKO, R2
pauga round 2 KO/TKO, wright is live for a good 1.5 rounds, pauga will likely takeover in the 2nd and put a beating on the karate kid
Parisian vs. Pogues
Josh Parisian, DEC
i'm really looking forward to this m...........idnight nap in between fights! zero confidence i'm gonna side with the dog in parisian
Knight vs. Prachnio
William Knight, TKO, R1
tubby will for the W, looked great at weigh ins. his main issue is lack of volume as well as a ****** gas tank. knight KO round 1 otherwise it's a boring clinch-fest on the fence and tubby will still wins. prachnio is absolute dog**** let's be honest
Miller vs. Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez, TKO, R1
i have no confidence in either but i'm gonna pick alex only because he's at 155 and because i don't think miller wins 4 in a row at 39 y/o, but it very well could happen
Sadykhov vs. Elder
Nazim Sadykhov, TKO, R1
put the house on sadykhov
Länsberg vs. Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva, SUB, R1
ufc matchmakers are getting fired, and so is lansberg after this L
Emmers vs. Askhabov
Jamall Emmers, DEC
mr. padded record vs the guy who lost a split decision versus giga... emmers via DEC for the upset
St. Preux vs. Lins
Philipe Lins, TKO, R2
motivated lins vs washed OSP
Fletcher vs. Gorimbo
AJ Fletcher, DEC
poirier's son for the boring decision win
Ronderos vs. Carpenter
Juancamilo Ronderos, DEC
after some tape study, i still don't know what's so special about carpenter... going with the dog in ronderos to pull off the upset decision
02.18.2023 | 1:15 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points | Tied for 1479th
Do people put KO/SUB/DEC in parlays? Ive done it a couple times and realized its soo damn risky. i always get the fighter right but never the right outcome 👎🏻