Topic: UFC 230

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis

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Tapology
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07.18.2018 | 4:00 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 230
  • Saturday 11.03.2018 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: Fox Sports 1
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: WME-IMG
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, New York, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Joe Rogan, Jon Anik, Paul Felder
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $2,841,718
  • Attendance: 17,011
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 250,000 | TV Ratings: 635,000 avg. viewers (FS1 prelims, 808k peak)
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Daniel Cormier   defeats   Derrick Lewis   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:14 Round 2 of 5, 7:14 Total Bout Page
Ronaldo Souza   defeats   Chris Weidman   via KO/TKO, Punches   2:46 Round 3 of 3, 12:46 Total Bout Page
Jared Cannonier   defeats   David Branch   via KO/TKO, Punches   0:39 Round 2 of 3, 5:39 Total Bout Page
Karl Roberson   defeats   Jack Marshman   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Israel Adesanya   defeats   Derek Brunson   via KO/TKO, Knees and Punches   4:51 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jordan Rinaldi   defeats   Jason Knight   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Sijara Eubanks   defeats   Roxanne Modafferi   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Sheymon Moraes   defeats   Julio Arce   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lyman Good   defeats   Ben Saunders   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:32 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Matt Frevola   vs.   Lando Vannata   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Shane Burgos   defeats   Kurt Holobaugh   via Submission, Armbar   2:11 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Marcos Rogério de Lima   defeats   Adam Wieczorek   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 3

rotojohn
rotojohn
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09.19.2018 | 7:50 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 1070th

unbeknownst
unbeknownst
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09.19.2018 | 8:42 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 69th

@rotojohn: But Dana said, Jon Jones will never headline a UFC card again. But Dana said...

"I wanted to meet interesting and stimulating people of an ancient culture, and kill them."

Moorlady
Moorlady

09.22.2018 | 3:40 PM ET

Poirier v Diaz

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 420 Points   |   Tied for 570th


Nate's only been stopped twice.  I don't think there will be a third time until he retires, but he doesn't fight to win decisions.  He's an opportunistic finisher.  And I'm not anticipating an opportunity from Poirier.

Poirier, DEC
PepeMMA
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09.26.2018 | 6:44 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 244th

https://twitter.com/NateDiaz209/status/1044780357000646656

"Sometimes it's just time to stop"

Spotlight23
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09.26.2018 | 6:48 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

Wow that’s crazy I think Dustin is to small at 165 should stay at 155

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poir420
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09.26.2018 | 9:47 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 543rd

"“All of a sudden, he was shooting for a takedown, and I’m like, ‘Oh, you’re a wrestler now? Remember, I’m the black belt in jiu-jitsu. And you’re shooting on me now? This is a wrap." - Nate Diaz"

Gregory
Gregory
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09.26.2018 | 9:56 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

Yeah this is all a bit weird. I'm going to take it with a grain of salt until there's more legit info.

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AnAlias
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09.26.2018 | 10:13 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 92nd

Gregory
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09.26.2018 | 1:01 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th


I do think 10 pound weight increments make sense all the way up to 185:

- 155
- 165
- 175
- 185


And then I would either:
a) Bring 205 to 200. Because any fighter that can't make 200 means they probably are trying to cut down from 230+.  Or...
b) Add 195 and keep 205.  But I worry this would spread the decent fighters too thinly, as there are fewer talented guys at that level.

* Edited at 09.26.2018, 1:01 PM ET *

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MassaBruce
MassaBruce

09.26.2018 | 1:08 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

I wouldn't mind seeing a 165 and 225 weight class added. I think that would help a lot and add some new excitement but adding too many classes would just cause chaos. 
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AnAlias
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09.26.2018 | 1:47 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 92nd

165 could work, but 195 and especially 225 would thin out those already thin divisions too much.

I like Gregory's 200lb idea. 

I also wonder about removing that arbitrary 265lb cap on heavyweight. Just let the giants be giants. 
AnAlias
AnAlias
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09.26.2018 | 1:48 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 92nd

I wonder if Woodley would pick 165 or 175 if they actually did this.
Gregory
Gregory
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09.26.2018 | 2:19 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th


@massa the thing about 225 lb division, which @analias talked about, is you need to factor in weight cutting.

If you had a 225 lb division, probably 75% of the existing heavyweight division could cut weight to make this class. N'Gannou would only need to cut 28 lbs. Arlovski would only need to cut 19 lbs.  Stipe would only need to cut 17 lbs.

The only guys left at 265 would be Brock Lesnar, Mark Hunt, and other guys who are really up there. Any weight class higher than 205 and it's just going to pull guys out of an already-thin division, because they'll just do a normal weight cut like most UFC fighters do.

"I live, I die, I live again."

MassaBruce
MassaBruce

09.26.2018 | 6:41 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

Only 28 pounds? Ngannou doesn't have 10 pounds he could lose...28? 


Unless they're around 230, they won't cut weight. Promise. HW's don't cut weight. Not in middle-school, definitely not now. 

The LAST thing Struve needs is to sweat out more water weight. His chin is done already. 

Arlovski is 76 years old. Probably doesn't even know what a sauna is. Dude woke up and weighed in at Moscow. 

Lesnar & Hunt would be left? Lesnar doesn't even have a fight and Hunt is about to retire. Derrick Lewis, Volkov, Blaydes, JDS, Ben Rothwell, Ivanov, Duffee, Crowder, Coulter, Albini, Golm, Greg Hardy, Walt Harris, Jeff Hughes, Ruslan Magomedov, Stipe, Oleinik, Overeem, Sakai, Bhullar, Tuivasa, Tybura, Cain, Willis ALL weigh too much to cut to 225. I just named 80% of the division. HW would be just fine. 

* Edited at 09.26.2018, 6:51 PM ET *

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MassaBruce
MassaBruce

09.26.2018 | 6:44 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

and 165 wouldn't thin out 155 and 170? It definitely would. 
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AnAlias
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09.26.2018 | 6:50 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 92nd

Obviously it would, but those are the 2 deepest divisions in the sport. They could afford to be split up. Heavyweight can't. 
MassaBruce
MassaBruce

09.26.2018 | 6:52 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

HW would be just fine. The 2 "deepest" divisions would quickly be ordinary if the studs stopped cutting to fight at 165. Dustin Peahead, Pettis, Ferguson, hell I can't see ANY 155ers not taking up 165. 




1 thing is for sure though...265 is nothing. In High school the HW limit in wrestling was 280. Idk how ANY grown man could weigh under 200 pounds. HW should be 300+. 

* Edited at 09.26.2018, 6:55 PM ET *

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ImperatorFishrat
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09.26.2018 | 7:44 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 330 Points   |   Tied for 1338th

I like the idea of 165, for the same reasons greg has pointed out I'm a bit Leery on 225. We don't really know who can cut to what. I don't think Ngannou could shed 28lbs and walk without assistance to the cage, but I reckon guys like Tybura could. 

I like Alias's idea of removing the HW cap. Either that, or make a super heavyweight category for the real big boys.
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Gregory
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09.26.2018 | 10:57 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 827th

You don't think N'Gannou can cut 10 pounds? What kind of nonsense is that?

We have the information now on how much water weight fighters are putting back on after the weigh ins.  Look at the fight page for any UFC 227 fight. California weighs the fighters when they step in the cage, and we put the numbers in the database.

The weight gain percentages from weigh-in to fight-night typically range from 10% to 15%.  Brett Johns weighed in at 135.3 lbs and came in the next night 22.8 lbs heavier! That's a 17% gain.  Read that again!

A water replenishment of 10-15% from 225 pound weigh in would mean fighters stepping into the cage between 247.5 lbs and 258.75 lbs.  This would just be normal weight cuts for what UFC fighters do all the time.

"I live, I die, I live again."

loudenSwain
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09.27.2018 | 12:12 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 438th

That’s a pretty awesome stat. Interesting Cody was only 5% gain. Ngannou could easily drop 10-15#. 

"This is Prize-Fighting, IDGAF about your family or your problems - MassaBruce"

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